Sturt LionsvsAdelaide United II

Sturt Lions are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Adelaide United II are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide United II hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the South Australia NPL, while Sturt Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.