Sturt LionsvsAdelaide Comets

Sturt Lions are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Adelaide Comets are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturt Lions hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the South Australia NPL, while Sturt Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.