GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 4/18/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Sturt Lions are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Adelaide City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide City

Probability

62.0%

Model confidence

62.0%

Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturt LionsLLWLW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide CityWWDDW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Sturt LionsAdelaide City
53.0Attack66.7
45.5Defence75.8
40.9Form72.7
46.5Power71.7
0.95xG2.21
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