GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 8/15/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sturm Graz · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sturm Graz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while SCR Altach are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturm Graz hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Bundesliga, while Sturm Graz holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sturm Graz

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

14.0%

Sturm Graz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturm GrazLWLDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
SCR AltachWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sturm GrazSCR Altach
50.0Attack50.0
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
68.0Power56.2
1.40xG1.07
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