GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Sturm Graz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturm GrazWDLWW

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sanfrecce HiroshimaWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sturm GrazSanfrecce Hiroshima
50.0Attack91.7
39.6Defence33.3
41.7Form50.0
44.4Power55.5
1.88xG2.34
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