Sturm GrazvsPogon Szczecin

Sturm Graz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Pogon Szczecin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogon Szczecin hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 61.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Pogon Szczecin holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.