GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kalsdorf · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sturm Graz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kalsdorf are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalsdorf hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kalsdorf holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kalsdorf

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

14.6%

Kalsdorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturm GrazDLWWW

GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KalsdorfDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sturm GrazKalsdorf
50.0Attack29.2
39.6Defence75.0
41.7Form50.0
44.4Power54.5
1.09xG1.19
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