GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sturm Graz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Sturm Graz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Heart Of Midlothian are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturm Graz hold a 48.5-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 8.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the UEFA Champions League, while Sturm Graz holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sturm Graz

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

61.1%

Sturm Graz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturm GrazWWWDL

GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Heart Of MidlothianWWLLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Sturm GrazHeart Of Midlothian
50.0Attack0.0
75.0Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
56.5Power8.0
2.08xG0.89
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