GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 3/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

First Vienna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Sturm Graz are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while First Vienna are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and First Vienna hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 74.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while First Vienna holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

First Vienna

Probability

56.5%

Model confidence

56.5%

First Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturm GrazDWWDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
First ViennaWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sturm GrazFirst Vienna
50.0Attack100.0
39.6Defence60.0
41.7Form75.6
44.4Power74.8
1.21xG3.25
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