GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sturm Graz II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Sturm Graz II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SpVgg Unterhaching are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturm Graz II hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (64.0 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sturm Graz II holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sturm Graz II

Probability

61.2%

Model confidence

61.2%

Sturm Graz II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturm Graz IIWDDLW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SpVgg UnterhachingWWLLD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sturm Graz IISpVgg Unterhaching
86.1Attack48.1
44.4Defence22.2
63.9Form22.2
64.0Power32.7
4.50xG1.38
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