Strugavs
Vardar Skopje
LIVEMacedonia · First League · 8/16/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Struga · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Struga are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Vardar Skopje are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Struga hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the First League, while Struga holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Struga
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Struga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40