GGOALVIO

Norway · 1. Division · 4/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Stromsgodset are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Stabaek are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabaek hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the 1. Division, while Stabaek holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stabaek

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StromsgodsetDWDLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
StabaekWLDWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
StromsgodsetStabaek
86.3Attack86.3
51.0Defence62.7
62.7Form70.6
65.3Power71.7
2.04xG2.38
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