Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4
Strommen are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Stabaek are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabaek hold a 38.4-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.5% in the 1. Division, while Stabaek holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
85.5%
Model confidence
85.5%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40