Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogndal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Strommen are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Sogndal are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sogndal hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the 1. Division, while Sogndal holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sogndal
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
7.1%
Sogndal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00