Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Strommen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Moss are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Moss hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the 1. Division, while Moss holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moss
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Moss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40