Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Strommen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while hodd are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and hodd hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the 1. Division, while hodd holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
8.8%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00