Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Strommen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Egersund are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Egersund hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the 1. Division, while Egersund holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Egersund
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
62.0%
Egersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00