Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shumbrat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Strogino are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Shumbrat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shumbrat hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the Second League - Group 3, while Shumbrat holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shumbrat
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Shumbrat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60