GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metallurg Lipetsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Strogino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Metallurg Lipetsk hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Second League - Group 3, while Metallurg Lipetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metallurg Lipetsk

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Metallurg Lipetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StroginoLWDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Metallurg LipetskWDWLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
StroginoMetallurg Lipetsk
40.4Attack66.7
45.6Defence61.4
38.6Form61.4
43.4Power63.7
0.95xG2.11
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