Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strogino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Strogino are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kvant are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Strogino hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (43.2 v 21.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Second League - Group 3, while Strogino holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Strogino
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
10.6%
Strogino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20