GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 4/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avangard Kursk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Strogino are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Avangard Kursk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Avangard Kursk hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Second League - Group 3, while Avangard Kursk holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avangard Kursk

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Avangard Kursk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StroginoLLDLL

GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Avangard KurskLDLDW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
StroginoAvangard Kursk
40.4Attack42.1
45.6Defence59.6
38.6Form47.4
43.4Power51.0
1.03xG1.29
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