GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Strogino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Strogino are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Arsenal Tula II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Strogino hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 29.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the Second League - Group 3, while Strogino holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Strogino

Probability

59.2%

Model confidence

59.2%

Strogino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StroginoDLLLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Arsenal Tula IIWWDLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
StroginoArsenal Tula II
40.4Attack29.8
45.6Defence28.1
38.6Form21.1
43.4Power29.7
1.95xG0.85
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