Stroginovs
Arsenal Tula II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strogino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Strogino are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Arsenal Tula II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Strogino hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 29.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the Second League - Group 3, while Strogino holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Strogino
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Strogino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20