Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Larne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Stranraer are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Larne are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Larne hold a 42.9-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 93.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Larne holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Larne
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Larne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80