Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stranraer · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Stranraer are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dundela are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Stranraer hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 16.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Stranraer holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stranraer
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Stranraer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80