Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ayr Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Stranraer are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ayr Utd are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ayr Utd hold a 64.3-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 87.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the League Cup, while Ayr Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ayr Utd
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Ayr Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80