Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Storfors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Storfors are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded, while IFK Umeå are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Storfors hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 18.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Storfors holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Storfors
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
65.6%
Storfors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20