Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Storfors are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Boden are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boden hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Boden holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Boden
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Boden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40