Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stonava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Stonava are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kravare are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 4.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stonava hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Stonava holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stonava
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
9.3%
Stonava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/4.33