GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stoke City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Stoke City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Valencia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stoke City hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Stoke City holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stoke City

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Stoke City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stoke CityWDLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ValenciaWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Stoke CityValencia
61.1Attack27.8
83.3Defence61.1
66.7Form27.8
68.5Power41.8
1.85xG0.78
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