Stoke Cityvs
Swansea
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stoke City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Stoke City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Swansea are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.7 against 47.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Championship, while Stoke City holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stoke City
Probability
34.9%
Model confidence
14.9%
Stoke City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20