GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stoke City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stoke City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while SC Braga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Braga hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 82.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Stoke City holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stoke City

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Stoke City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stoke CityLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SC BragaWWDDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Stoke CitySC Braga
61.1Attack66.7
83.3Defence93.3
66.7Form86.7
68.5Power82.0
1.51xG1.36
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