Stoke Cityvs
Oldham
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stoke City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Stoke City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Oldham are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Stoke City hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the League Cup, while Stoke City holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stoke City
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
10.1%
Stoke City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40