GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stockton Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Stockton Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Leek Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Leek Town hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Stockton Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stockton Town

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

14.0%

Stockton Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stockton TownLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Leek TownDLDDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Stockton TownLeek Town
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
0.0Form16.7
26.7Power36.5
1.36xG1.18
View match centre →