GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ashton United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Stockton Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ashton United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashton United hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Ashton United holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ashton United

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

13.4%

Ashton United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stockton TownLLWDD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Ashton UnitedWDDWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Stockton TownAshton United
0.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power88.7
1.17xG1.51
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