Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stocksund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Stocksund are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Piteå are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stocksund hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Stocksund holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stocksund
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Stocksund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80