StjarnanvsValur Reykjavik

Stjarnan are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Valur Reykjavik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Valur Reykjavik hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Stjarnan holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.