Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
7%
LowconfidenceStjarnan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Keflavik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and keflavik hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely result in the Úrvalsdeild, favouring a draw with 6.8% confidence, a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
20.4%
Model confidence
6.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StjarnanWLLWL
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KeflavikWLWLD
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
StjarnanKeflavik
62.7Attack54.9
15.7Defence35.3
35.3Form43.1
40.0Power45.6
2.65xG2.66