Stjarnanvs
KA Akureyri
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 6/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stjarnan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Stjarnan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while KA Akureyri are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Stjarnan hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Stjarnan holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stjarnan
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Stjarnan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80