GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 5/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stjarnan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Stjarnan are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while IA Akranes are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and IA Akranes hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Stjarnan holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stjarnan

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Stjarnan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StjarnanLLWWW

GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
IA AkranesLDLDL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
StjarnanIA Akranes
61.1Attack55.6
20.4Defence33.3
38.9Form40.7
42.3Power44.8
2.69xG2.52
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