Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stevenage · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Stevenage are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while West Ham are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Stevenage hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Stevenage holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stevenage
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Stevenage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60