GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colchester · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stevenage are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Colchester are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Colchester hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Colchester holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colchester

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Colchester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StevenageWLDLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
ColchesterLDLWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
StevenageColchester
60.0Attack80.0
60.0Defence73.3
66.7Form66.7
63.4Power70.2
1.52xG1.77
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