Stenhousemuirvs
Motherwell
SCHEDULEDScotland · League Cup · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stenhousemuir · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Stenhousemuir are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Motherwell are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 66.3 against 67.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the League Cup, while Stenhousemuir holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stenhousemuir
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
13.9%
Stenhousemuir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40