GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stenhousemuir · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Stenhousemuir are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Motherwell are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 66.3 against 67.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the League Cup, while Stenhousemuir holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stenhousemuir

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

13.9%

Stenhousemuir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StenhousemuirWDDDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MotherwellDDWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
StenhousemuirMotherwell
50.0Attack60.0
75.0Defence73.3
66.7Form66.7
66.3Power67.2
1.30xG1.29
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