Stenhousemuirvs
Livingston
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Livingston · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Stenhousemuir are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Livingston are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Livingston hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 75.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the League Cup, while Livingston holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Livingston
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Livingston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40