GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Livingston · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stenhousemuir are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Livingston are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Livingston hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 75.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the League Cup, while Livingston holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Livingston

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Livingston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StenhousemuirDWWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LivingstonWDWWW

GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
StenhousemuirLivingston
50.0Attack91.7
75.0Defence91.7
66.7Form66.7
66.3Power75.9
1.35xG1.52
View match centre →