Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Start W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Start W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Åsane W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Start W hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (81.9 v 76.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the 1. Division Women, while Start W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Start W
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Start W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40