Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Start W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Start W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Grei W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Start W hold a 44.6-point power-rating edge (81.9 v 37.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the 1. Division Women, while Start W holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Start W
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Start W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60