Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Start · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Start are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vindbjart are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Start hold a 66.5-point power-rating edge (73.5 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Start holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Start
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Start has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60