Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosenborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Start are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Rosenborg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosenborg hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (28.6 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the Eliteserien, while Rosenborg holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rosenborg
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
Rosenborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60