Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Start are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Molde are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde hold a 25.4-point power-rating edge (28.6 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Eliteserien, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
71.9%
Model confidence
10.2%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40