GGOALVIO

Start logoStartvsFredrikstad logoFredrikstad

COMPLETED

Norway · Eliteserien · 8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Start are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fredrikstad are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and fredrikstad hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (28.6 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Eliteserien, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

28.2%

Model confidence

13.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StartLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FredrikstadWLLLW

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
StartFredrikstad
31.4Attack35.4
25.5Defence43.8
19.6Form41.7
28.6Power42.9
1.09xG1.52
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