Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Start · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Start are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Donn are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Donn hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (73.5 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Start holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Start
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Start has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60